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Thread: Latest Sunspot/aussie drought connection

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Apr 2006
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    519

    Smile Latest Sunspot/aussie drought connection

    Dr Bob Bakers theory on the connection of high sunspot activity with rain, and low activity connected to droughts.

    http://www.une.edu.au/news/archives/000535.html

    Baker, Haworth & Flood are known for their "oscillating Sea Level" Theory, which uses Fixed Biological Indicators (fossil tube worms and barnacles) to assert that the sea level hasnt fallen gradually in the last 6000 years but has risen and fallen several times in this period.

    Last year he said that he thought that sea-level changes were connected to Sunspot activity.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    3,237
    I would think that linking a solar cycle to the weather patterns of a particular place or area on Earth would be rather difficult, due to the large number of influencing factors.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Posts
    7,795
    I have seen studies (tree rings and lake bed sediment layers) that show a link between total precipitation and the 11 year sunspot cycle.

  4. #4

    Solar Cycle & Climate Research

    Below are links to some interesting material on research into the connection between Solar activity and climate by the late Dr Theodor Landscheidt - the items listed below are extracted from the much more extensive list on the page http://www.john-daly.com/guests.htm.

    Solar Activity: A Dominant Factor in Climate Dynamics
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt
    - demonstrates that climate changes are predominantly the result of solar activity, not human activity.

    Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt
    - A new solar model to explain the timing of previous ENSO events and to predict future ones
    Plus, Open Review (ZIP file) of this paper, including some fascinating research results uncovered as Dr Theodor Landscheidt was defending criticism of his claims.

    Top Climate Events' Linked to Solar Motion Cycle
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (3 Jan 2000)
    - NOAA's top climate events of the 20th Century correlate with solar motion cycle

    Comments on "Solar Activity: A Dominant Factor in Climate Dynamics" (by Dr Theodor Landscheidt)
    by Charles "Chick" F. Keller (USA) (20 Jan 2000)
    - Disputes findings by Dr Landscheidt on solar-climate linkages
    Also, see `Open Review' of Chick Keller's paper

    Sun's Role in the Satellite-Balloon-Surface Issue
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (26 Mar 2000)
    - How the satellite and sonde data shows a more natural response to the sun than does the surface record.

    New Confirmation of Strong Solar Forcing of Climate
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (7 Nov 2000).
    - Recent flooding of the River Po in Italy was predicted in advance through Solar Motion Cycle analysis.

    Solar Eruptions Linked to North Atlantic Oscillation
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (9 April 2001).
    - After predicting that the next El Niño will peak late next year, Dr Landscheidt now shows that a similar correlation exists between solar motion/activity cycles and the N.A.O.

    Trends in Pacific Decadal Oscillation Subjected To Solar Forcing
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (25 April 2001).
    - First ENSO, then the NAO (item above), now Dr Landscheidt completes the trilogy demonstrating that the 50-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation is also a product of solar forcing, not random chance.

    El Niño Forecast Revisited
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (19 March 02).
    - Dr Landscheidt reviews his prediction made over 3 years ago of the El Niño now developing, and describes his method in layman's terms for the benefit of non-expert readers.

    Long-Range Forecast of U.S. Drought Based on Solar Activity
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (15 Mar 2003).
    - Following from his stunning success in predicting the timing of the current El Niño over 4 years ago, Dr Theodor Landscheidt has now applied his solar analysis technique to the problem of periodic drought conditions in the U.S. He has developed a long-range forecast covering the period up to 2030. He predicts that the next extended wet period should begin around 2007 and last about 7 to 8 years. A drought peak is to be expected from 2025 on and should last about five years.

    Decadal-Scale Variations in El-Niño Intensity
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (20 May 2003).
    - Where does El Niño and La Niña go from here? Using his solar motions analysis (which successfully predicted the last La Niña and the recent El Niño), Dr Landscheidt looks 80 years into the future and finds La Niña more dominant.

    Variations in CO2 Growth Rate Associated with Solar Activity
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (21 Sept 03).
    - Solar activity and solar motion variations are found to explain much of the variability of CO2 growth over the last several decades.* The average annual increase over the last 10 years was 1.66 ppmv/yr, which is less than half that assumed by climate models.

    New ENSO Forecasts Based on Solar Model
    by Dr Theodor Landscheidt (22 Dec 2003).
    - The latest forecast from Dr Landscheidt's solar model for predicting ENSO events. The next El Niño should emerge around July 2006 and last at least until May 2007, with a probability of 80%.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Posts
    5,506
    Landscheidt, according to the Wiki entry is "an author, astrologer and amateur climatologist". He was the only researcher in his 'Institute'. While a number of references to his work in various forums and blogs identify him as a "retired German judge", "a retired Supreme Court Judge", and a "Dr." (all your links), I could find no evidence those claims are true.

    He has no credibility as an expert in climate change nor do his claims that human generated CO2 is not a source of global warming have credibility.

    Sorry to bump this old thread. I was looking for solar minimum and drought on Google and this thread came up. I had to comment on Landscheidt.

    Never mind the thread, carry on.....

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    7,250
    Oh well.

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