This is to gain some input from those in related scientific disciplines about the mysteries of Yellowstone Park Caldera. From what I can piece together, it would seem the end of the Maunder Minimum wakened not only the sun's activity but possibly the supervolcano as well.
Since it's discovery some 200 years after the Maunder Minimum or "little ice age," the caldera had been seen to have geysers. I'm of the opinion that it is not impossible for those leaks to be the earliest stages of fracture, thus eruption and caused by a thaw after such a long deep freeze. It would seem logical that if the area is already hotter than it used to be, yet likely weakened around 1650, if it were subjected to some short season of local deep feeze, it may follow classic physics and contract again, thus fracturing further.
Any thoughts to fail that? If that is possible, could this become a runaway effect? If so, could the aquifers from surrounding states be drained, thrust or even siphoned there resulting in a supersaturation or other event process? My last look at the aquifers from Wyoming and surrounding states, suggests the caldera would act as one large, bubbling, ejecting, hot spring. This could create new tributaries meandering the water eventually to the eastern states and even perhaps raise the level of the Great Lakes. I'm hoping some of you will bring in water tables and aquifers online. They all appear to be interleaved quite a bit. We know a new water body has been discovered on the Western fringe of the Caldera. I want to see if there is any interleave with the underground river in Mexico in the link below:
These are all relevant to the subject of the caldera and underground water sources that could affect it.
The sun's visiable activity may have a link to the Caldera as it "shakes" the Earth's magnetic field.
I've been working to find a way to predict solar flares. The following list is of a number of predictions made for solar flares based around the symmetry of the solar wind and some other experiments I've run. The first 4 I've been accurate to within 24 hours and today we are looking at what appears to be two flares in excess of 1.5% of the disk. I missed the one we just had Tuesday, but it doesn't rule out the next one coming around St. Patrick's Day.
Oct 15, 2011 - made the news
Jan 20 2012 - made the news
feb 2 2012 - smaller but significant
feb 15 2012 - smaller but significant
march 19 2012
april 5 2012
may 5 2012
may 25 2012
july 12 2012
july 27 2012
sep 3 2012
sep 17 2012
oct 27 2012
nov 18 2012
dec 3 2012
dec 17 2012
Is there a link between the solar wind and volcanism? It appears the supervolcano may be a type that errupts in phases as its own system disrupts from expansion and contraction. It may be a particular effect or phase could begin and continue for hundreds of years. Such a revelation would be good news because we could know a bit what to expect.
IMO 2012 will be nothing like the movie sensationalizes and Yellowstone will not errupt suddenly as was depicted there. The one thing I'm speculating is that a deep freeze in Colorado and Wyoming could be a "next phase" indicator and it could runaway over a period of 10 or 20 years... I hope it would be that progressive.
(excerpt about the new aquifer and the caldera's mantle plume):
The plume's high conductivity suggests it contains high levels of silicate rocks and perhaps briny water, he said. The observation that the high conductivity plume is larger and angled differently than the one found with seismic imaging suggests that the plume of molten and partially molten rock may be surrounded by additional liquid including briny water...
On August 29, 1870, a 30-year-old Army lieutenant named Gustavus Doane, part of an exploratory expedition in the Yellowstone region in the territory of Wyoming,
(excerpt about 2002-2003 activity):
Around the same time, the U.S. Geological Survey ...create a stronger framework for monitoring and research. A few years later, in late 2002, a number of geological factors contributed to ramping up public interest in Yellowstone and its volcanic potential.
First, surface waves from the magnitude-7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake triggered about 400 small temblors within the park, 3,100 kilometers (about 1,900 miles) distant from the epicenter. Next, Steamboat Geyser, Yellowstone’s tallest and most unpredictable geyser, erupted in March 2003 and again in April and October. A new and vigorously steaming 75-meter (245-foot) line of steam vents erupted within sight of the Norris-Mammoth Road. A trail in the Norris Geyser Basin was closed because of increased steaming and resulting elevated ground temperatures.
The above are excerpts from the articles directly above them. The last is where I'm basing some of my questions concerning deep freeze and its effects on this huge "lid." It may offer more than just a link between the the Su's and Earth's magnetosphere's where volcanoes are concerned, it could reflect on seismology as well, which we already know a link exists to a degree. Recently the subject of magnetic reconnection has come into the pieces of the puzzle. These magnetic portals occur every 8 minutes here on Earth. The CLUSTER Mission has only verified these since 2008.
The Wiki article on "The Little Ice Age," are important because they link, somewhat, sunspot activity, or inactivity, to the planet's climate. How do we come up with some sort of predictability over potential hazards such as the Yellowstone Caldera? Are we all still that primative in our ability to compare evidence that all we can say is "I don't know?"
It is conventionally defined as a period extending from the 16th to the 19th centuries, though climatologists and historians working with local records no longer expect to agree on either the start or end dates of this period, which varied according to local conditions. NASA defines the term as a cold period between 1550 AD and 1850 AD and notes three particularly cold intervals: one beginning about 1650, another about 1770, and the last in 1850, each separated by intervals of slight warming
My take on all this is just one person's perspective. I'd be very interested in hearing what others have to say about this.