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View Full Version : Know any old people?

Fr. Wayne
2006-Feb-15, 12:07 PM
What's their risk of dying in the next four years? Researchers came up with this test to calculate the risk for anyone who's 50 or older. They say it can give you a rough idea of their survival chances.

Age: 60-64 years old 1 point; 65-69 2 points; 70-74 3 points; 75-79 4 points; 80-84 5 points; 85 and older 7 points.

Male or female: Male 2 points.

Body-mass index: Less than 25 (normal weight or less) 1 point. (Calculate by multiplying height in inches times height in inches; then divide weight in pounds by that total; then multiply the total by 703.)

Cancer (excluding minor skin cancers): 2 points.

Chronic lung disease that limits activities or requires oxygen use at home: 2 points.

Congestive heart failure: 2 points.

Diabetes: 2 points.

Cigarette smoking in the past week: 2 points.

Difficulty bathing/showering because of a health or memory problem: 2 points.

Difficulty managing money, paying bills, keeping track of expenses because of a health or memory problem: 2 points.

Difficulty walking several blocks because of to a health problem: 2 points.

Difficulty pushing or pulling large objects like a living room chair because of a health problem: 1 point.

Score:
0 to 5 points -- less than a 4 percent risk of dying
6 to 9 points -- 15 percent risk
10 to 13 points -- 42 percent risk
14 or more points -- 64 percent risk
from http://www.suntimes.com/output/news/cst-nws-diewhen15.html Us old geezers gettin up there should take this quiz ourselves. If you have an older person in your significant space-time curvature, do take it for them.

mickal555
2006-Feb-15, 12:19 PM
There was a show on TV once to calculate your life expectancy- family history had most the points...

suntrack2
2006-Feb-15, 02:43 PM
nice information gathered Fr.wayne. the life expectancy is increased in the last 20 years due to better medical facilities, more great awareness about health and so on.

sunil

jkmccrann
2006-Feb-15, 10:59 PM
AFAIK, anyone under 40 today has approximately a 40% chance of living until their 100th birthday, so for anyone in Australia that means a good chance of getting a telegram from King William! Except, that by the time he's on the throne one would hope we've thrown off the shackles and become a republic.

Do peeps in Canada get a telegram on their 100th birthday as well?

tofu
2006-Feb-16, 04:13 AM
Body-mass index: Less than 25 (normal weight or less) 1 point.

uh, so if you're normal weight or less that *increases* your chance of dying??

mickal555
2006-Feb-16, 08:21 AM
AFAIK, anyone under 40 today has approximately a 40% chance of living until their 100th birthday, so for anyone in Australia that means a good chance of getting a telegram from King William! Except, that by the time he's on the throne one would hope we've thrown off the shackles and become a republic.

Do peeps in Canada get a telegram on their 100th birthday as well?

Wow really!

I eat a heck of a lot of junk... I excersise enough that I am normal weight but still, all thoose sticks of butter...

Enzp
2006-Feb-16, 08:33 AM
You can't get to 100 without getting to 40 first. At 20, you haven't even gotten to 40 yet. Young people die of all manner of things. Prostate cancer might not be much of a danger to you, but auto accidents and violent crime are. Not so many 40 year olds pile 8 of their closest friends into the car and ignore the road on the way to a party and run into a bridge abutment.

mickal555
2006-Feb-16, 12:00 PM
oh,

Hmm- I really hope I'm not a victum of a violent crime...

gwiz
2006-Feb-16, 12:24 PM
uh, so if you're normal weight or less that *increases* your chance of dying??
Read the linked article. This factor is associated with loss of weight due to ill health, obesity comes in with the walking difficulty and diabetes factors.