lpetrich
2001-Nov-18, 05:41 AM
This was inspired by the Nibiru thread. There are some ways of looking for extra planets, and it's worth taking a look at them.
* Reflected sunlight. This is good for anything that is not too far away from the Sun. The observed luminosity ~ (radius)^2/(distance)^4, meaning that the minimum detectable radius goes up as (distance)^2. The farthest directly-observed objects are the Kuiper-Belt ones, which have Pluto as their largest member. Comets may come from greater distances, but they are not observed at such disances.
So it would be difficult to observe an Earth-sized planet much beyond Pluto; however, such a planet would be very cold, and its inhabitants would have to live in protected environments that are little different from free-flying spacecraft. So why suffer from planetary chauvinism? To use a term coined by Isaac Asimov and Gerard K. O'Neill.
* Thermal emissions. This requires a body with a significant amount of internal heat, which would have to be at least as massive as Jupiter. However, Jupiter is close to the largest "cold" object with its composition, "cold" meaning not hot enough for temperature to contribute a significant amount of pressure. Meaning that a several-Jupiter-mass brown dwarf would be smaller than Jupiter.
* Gravitational effects. Extra Solar-System mass would perturb the orbits of known SS objects, and observed-calculated discrepancies could be used to search for new objects. Alternately, upper limits on such discrepancies could be used to set upper limits on such extra mass. Famous examples:
Mercury's excess perihelion advance. A logical hypothesis was intra-Mercurian planets, but no objects with sufficient size were ever found. However, General Relativity predicts extra gravitational effects with the expected size.
Neptune from Uranus discrepancies. A success.
Pluto from Neptune's discrepancies. Pluto turned out to be too low-mass to cause those discrepancies, and improved outer-planet mass estimates resulting from spacecraft flybys successfully eliminated those discrepancies.
The supposed planet "Clarion", an Earthlike planet which orbits in Earth's orbit on the opposite side of the Sun. It would produce very noticeable perturbations of the nearby planets' orbits in only a century, and it would have a noticeable effect on interplanetary satellites' orbits (something like 1 arcsecond per year). But such effects are not observed.
And this is very likely correct for all of the Solar System inside of Neptune's orbit, meaning that extra Earths could only exist in the very cold outer reaches of the Solar System, in the Kuiper Belt and beyond.
An indirect hint is provided by Milankovitch climate cycles, which are connected to Earth-orbit perturbation oscillations; wandering Earth-like planets would likely disrupt those cycles.
Finally, according to a certain Truman Bethurum, Clarion is the home base of a flying-saucer pilot named Aura Rhanes, who looks like an Earthwoman who is "tops in shapeliness and beauty".
/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif
Why doesn't anyone report UFOnauts that look like big mechanical spiders? /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_razz.gif
* Reflected sunlight. This is good for anything that is not too far away from the Sun. The observed luminosity ~ (radius)^2/(distance)^4, meaning that the minimum detectable radius goes up as (distance)^2. The farthest directly-observed objects are the Kuiper-Belt ones, which have Pluto as their largest member. Comets may come from greater distances, but they are not observed at such disances.
So it would be difficult to observe an Earth-sized planet much beyond Pluto; however, such a planet would be very cold, and its inhabitants would have to live in protected environments that are little different from free-flying spacecraft. So why suffer from planetary chauvinism? To use a term coined by Isaac Asimov and Gerard K. O'Neill.
* Thermal emissions. This requires a body with a significant amount of internal heat, which would have to be at least as massive as Jupiter. However, Jupiter is close to the largest "cold" object with its composition, "cold" meaning not hot enough for temperature to contribute a significant amount of pressure. Meaning that a several-Jupiter-mass brown dwarf would be smaller than Jupiter.
* Gravitational effects. Extra Solar-System mass would perturb the orbits of known SS objects, and observed-calculated discrepancies could be used to search for new objects. Alternately, upper limits on such discrepancies could be used to set upper limits on such extra mass. Famous examples:
Mercury's excess perihelion advance. A logical hypothesis was intra-Mercurian planets, but no objects with sufficient size were ever found. However, General Relativity predicts extra gravitational effects with the expected size.
Neptune from Uranus discrepancies. A success.
Pluto from Neptune's discrepancies. Pluto turned out to be too low-mass to cause those discrepancies, and improved outer-planet mass estimates resulting from spacecraft flybys successfully eliminated those discrepancies.
The supposed planet "Clarion", an Earthlike planet which orbits in Earth's orbit on the opposite side of the Sun. It would produce very noticeable perturbations of the nearby planets' orbits in only a century, and it would have a noticeable effect on interplanetary satellites' orbits (something like 1 arcsecond per year). But such effects are not observed.
And this is very likely correct for all of the Solar System inside of Neptune's orbit, meaning that extra Earths could only exist in the very cold outer reaches of the Solar System, in the Kuiper Belt and beyond.
An indirect hint is provided by Milankovitch climate cycles, which are connected to Earth-orbit perturbation oscillations; wandering Earth-like planets would likely disrupt those cycles.
Finally, according to a certain Truman Bethurum, Clarion is the home base of a flying-saucer pilot named Aura Rhanes, who looks like an Earthwoman who is "tops in shapeliness and beauty".
/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_lol.gif
Why doesn't anyone report UFOnauts that look like big mechanical spiders? /phpBB/images/smiles/icon_razz.gif